Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer’s upcoming retirement has President Joe Biden poised to appoint his replacement, but Senate Republicans
SCOTUS Justice Seat – Supreme Court Betting Odds
SCOTUS – Supreme Court Justice Betting Odds
With political betting still in its infancy within the modern sports betting market, opportunities for betting on the next Supreme Court justice appointment have not emerged much until now. SCOTUS Justice Justice Stephen Breyer’s anticipated retirement has political oddsmakers forecasting who his replacement will be, ushering in the latest Supreme Court odds and lines President Joe Biden’s potential nominees.
Supreme Court Justices have the highest authority in the nation, are appointed for life, and can shift past and present cases to fit their own and/or their nominating President’s ideologies. When a seat opens for a new Supreme Court Justice, the President may propose his/her own pick, which the Senate then votes upon. The seating of a new Supreme Court Justice extends beyond the term of the President who appointed them. Therefore, new Justice decisions and appointments become one of the most lasting legacies of any President.
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Current Supreme Court Justices
- John Roberts (R) – Chief Justice – Age 66 – Appointed by George W. Bush in 2005
- Clarence Thomas (R) – Age 72 – Appointed by George H. W. Bush in 1991
- Stephen Breyer (D) – Age 82 – Appointed by Bill Clinton in 1994
- Samuel Alito (R) – Age 70 – Appointed by George W. Bush in 2006
- Sonia Sotomayer (D) – Age 66 – Appointed by Barack Obama in 2009
- Elena Kagan (D) – Age 60 – Appointed by Barack Obama in 2010
- Neil Gorsuch (R) – Age 53 – Appointed by Donald Trump in 2017
- Brett Kavanaugh – Age 56 – Appointed by Donald Trump in 2018
- Amy Coney Barrett – Age 49 – Appointed by Donald Trump in 2020
Justice Breyer’s Pending 2022 Retirement And Biden’s Replacement
Liberal Supreme Court Justice Stephen Bremmer intends to retire in November of 2022 at which time Joe Biden will be tasked with nominating his replacement. Currently holding a commanding lead in the Supreme Court betting odds to replace Bremmer is Ketanji Brown Jackson, a circuit judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia.
Biden will face an uphill battle because the midterm election odds for 2022 imply the Republican Party will retake control of the House and the US Senate, allowing them to stall any nominee he places in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee.
Current DNC Super Court Justice Contenders
Ketanji Brown Jackson – Circuit Judge, US Court of Appeals, District of Columbia
Justice Jackson is leading the SCOTUS odds at the moment and appears to be Biden’s first choice to become the Supreme Court’s first female African American judge. The Harvard-educated justice from D.C. would be 52 at the time of Bremmer’s retirement and would make her the second-youngest Justice behind the Notorious ACB. Jackson has prior experience as a public defender and weighs the impact of her decisions heavily in regard to how they affect the common man.
J. Michelle Childs – US District Judge, US District Court, South Carolina
Julianna Michelle Childs is a 55-year-old US District Judge from South Carolina who was appointed by Barack Obama. Childs makes sound decisions based on the facts of the case even when they are not popular to the public at large.
She has defended state-ran power companies against consumers who wanted rate decreases, so she does not fit the traditional Democratic Party’s mold.
Leondra Kruger – California Supreme Court Justice
Educated at Harvard and Yale, Justice Leonrdra Kruger is a native Californian that has years of experience in private legal practice, as well as holding positions in the federal government assisting the US Solicitor General. In that role, Kruger argued cases in front of the Supreme Court, a rare qualifier that other candidates do not possess. California Governor Jerry Brown appoint Kruger to the CA Supreme Court in 2014 and now she is one of Joe Biden’s leading candidates to replace Bremmer.
Candace Jackson-Akiwumi – US Circuit Judge, US Court of Appeals, Seventh Circuit
Justice Jackson-Akiwumi serves in the US Court of Appeals in the Seventh Circuit which covers the region surrounding Chicago, Illinois. Studying at Princeton and then Yale, Jackson-Akiwumi then moved on to work in private law practice before becoming a public defender in the Chicago area. In 2021, Candace Jackson-Akiwumi was appointed to the Seventh Circuit US Court of Appeals by Joe Biden, and she is also on the shortlist of his potential SCOTUS noms in 2022.
Wilhelmina Wright – US District Judge, US District Court, Minnesota
Another graduate of Harvard and Yale, Justice Wilhelmina Wright of Minnesota rounds out Joe Biden’s potential Supreme Court nominations he will consider for 2022 when Stephen Bremmer retires. Wright worked as a private attorney before joining the office of the US District Attorney (MN). Justice Wright was a professor of law internationally as well as at St. Thomas School of Law before securing the nomination of Barack Obama to her current position in 2015.
Recap Of The 2020 Supreme Court Odds On Who Will Replace Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg
Once Justice Ginsburg passed away, oddsmakers were quick to create odds on her replacement because of the GOP’s haste in doing so before the looming November 3rd election date. Below are the odds that were posted for Justice Ginsburg’s replacement, as well as two prop bets regarding the eventual date of confirmation.
Amy Coney Barrett was selected by Trump for the SCOTUS on Saturday, September 26th, and was able to pass through the US Senate, thus confirming the oddsmakers’ beliefs expressed in the betting line below.
Prior GOP Supreme Court Justice Contenders
With the passing of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on September 18, 2020, President Trump has nominated a third US Supreme Court Justice to the bench – Amy Coney Barrett. Whether or not ACB is confirmed by the Senate remains to be seen, but with the filibuster removed, the Senate needs only a simple voting majority.
In the case of a tie, the tie-breaking vote will be cast by Vice President Mike Pence, giving the GOP-controlled Senate an even bigger leg up when it comes to Senate Supreme Court confirmation odds.
The following jurists and lawyers were up for consideration prior to Trump’s nomination of Any Coney Barrett.
Amy Coney Barrett – Judge, Federal Court of Appeals For the Seventh Circuit
Amy Vivian Coney Barret, at 48 years old, is an accomplished jurist and former professor of law at the University of Notre Dame. She previously interviewed with the Trump administration to fill the vacant Supreme Court seat in 2018, though Brett Kavanaugh was eventually chosen.
Kavanaugh has been viewed as a moderate in the court, and perhaps a mistake for the GOP Senate. Barrett may be seen as a sort of rectification of that less-than-ideal choice for conservatives, and she is largely “scandal proof” in a way that most male nominees would not be.
Because the pick must be fast-tracked to be in place by the 2020 Presidential election in November, Barrett seems a very safe choice for the Trump campaign, the Republican Senate, and political bettors everywhere.
Barbara Lagoa – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit
At 52 years old, Barbara Lagoa is the oldest and most seasoned jurist up for consideration by the Trump administration. As the first-ever Hispanic woman appointed to the Florida Supreme Court in 2019, Lagoa could improve Trump’s state electoral odds in FL while bringing more Latino voters on board.
Additionally, given her double-minority status and lack of scandalous baggage, Lagoa seems to be a very solid and tactful choice. Bettors looking to make the most money on a savvy selection should pick Lagoa, as her payouts are better than Barrett’s, and she seems – on paper – to be the smarter choice for the Trump team.
For all intents and purposes, this nomination is a two-woman race.
Joan Larsen – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit
Joan Louise Larsen, 51 years old, has extensive legal experience and is a former professor at the University of Michigan School of Law. Unfortunately, she has more limited judicial experience on the bench, starting her mainstream career somewhat recently in 2015 when she became an Associate Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court.
Larsen will almost certainly not get the nod given the competition from Barrett and Lagoa, though Supreme Court consideration should offer plenty of prestige to help move her up the ladder in the US court system.
Allison Rushing – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit
At only 38 years old and without significant judicial experience, Rushing’s inclusion on the Supreme Court betting odds boards is a stretch.
Yes, Trump said he would nominate a woman, and his preference would be a younger candidate who could be relied upon to help guide a conservative SCOTUS for years to come.
However, Rushing simply doesn’t have the bona fides needed at this stage of her young career, and the Trump administration won’t be rushing her along to fill the vacancy left by Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
Britt Grant – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit
Britt Grant (nee Elizabeth Britt Cagle) is one of the youngest candidates on the odds boards at just 42 years old. As a former Solicitor General of Georgia and Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of Georgia, Grant has some experience at the highest level of her profession.
Like Larsen above, however, Grant has only held these high positions since 2015, which means she’s unlikely to be considered as qualified experientially for a post as significant as Associate Justice of the US Supreme Court.
Amul Thapar – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit
He’s not a woman, so he’s not winning. Bet at your own peril on this one, folks. That said, Amul Roger Thapar, the first South Asian federal judge in the history of the US, is a minority that might attract significant support under different circumstances.
The 51-year-old jurist may be in the mix for a future conservative Supreme Court nomination, but he’s out of the mix for this one.
Thomas M. Hardiman – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit
Thomas Michael Hardiman, 55 years old, has served in his current position since being appointed by George W. Bush in 2007. As one of the most qualified men on this list, Hardiman – like Thapar – would garner good Supreme Court betting odds under less unusual or unprecedented circumstances. Alas, he doesn’t fit the fundamental criteria this time around.
Hard break, Hardiman!
Ted Cruz – US Senator from Texas (R)
President Trump floated the 49-year-old Cruz’ potential Supreme Court nomination as a tongue-in-cheek gesture, a compliment to a former opponent who is now a staunch supporter.
However, Cruz has stated his intentions to remain in the US Senate representing his home state of Texas, and that’s where Trump most needs him, besides. Cruz has effectively disqualified himself from consideration, so you should disqualify him from your betting slip.
Tom Cotton – US Senator from Arkansas (R)
Senator Thomas Bryant Cotton, at just 43 years old, is the single biggest rising star in US conservative politics. Think Ted Cruz a decade ago, or Trey Gowdy before he left his post to return to private practice and television.
As a staunch constitutionalist with a no-holds-barred attitude, Cotton isn’t qualified for the Supreme Court given his lack of judicial experience. But he could very well be qualified to be President one day, which is the fervent hope of millions of Republicans around the country.
Don’t be surprised if you’re picking Cotton on the Presidential election odds boards 8-12 years from now.
Recent News & Headlines For U.S. Supreme Court
Via a 5-4 vote from the US Supreme Court, an abortions prohibition in the state of Texas after six weeks of pregnancy has been upheld. The SCOTUS has
The US Senate prepares to vote to confirm Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett in a Senate session Monday night. Senate Republicans closed the
Odds On Who Biden’s Next Supreme Court Nominee Will Be
Because Supreme Court Justices can retire or pass away at any given moment, odds for a Biden SCOTUS nomination can appear at any time. With three justices currently at an advanced age, there is a strong potential for one of them to vacate their seat prior to 2024.
2021 Supreme Court Justice Nomination
With former President Trump securing three seats on the Supreme Court bench during his term, the DNC is anxious to gain a seat and tip the balance back toward the left.
Supreme Court Nominee Confirmation Odds
There are no odds available at this moment as there are no SCOTUS seats available for the taking. However, we will update this information once the next Justice retires and Supreme Court odds appear. We expect a significant amount of prop bets will surface for each and every confirmation hearing going forth.
Odds For A Supreme Court Justice To Retire
Stephen Breyer is the oldest Justice at 82 years old and will retire later in 2022. Two more Justices are over the age of 65 and the possibility of these individuals retiring or dying is not totally unlikely. Ruth Bader Ginsburg was the oldest Justice upon her passing on 9/18/20.
Clarence Thomas is the second oldest at 72 years old and Samuel Alito is 70 years old. We expect to see betting lines emerge at some point predicting more potential retirements from the Supreme Court. Once these odds surface, you will see them listed here.
Democrats vs Republicans – The Partisan Fight For the Supreme Court
Currently, a DNC-controlled Senate also controls the Judiciary Committee providing a natural upper hand, which allows the raw exercise of political power. Their hopes are to place a liberal-minded stronghold in the Supreme Court. Since the Supreme Court has recently become an active imposer of moral and political standings by dabbling in matters much more extensive than traditionally taken upon by the Court, the overreach has attracted public attention from the media and concerned citizens.
However, it is extremely common and natural for both parties, Republicans and Democrats, to battle one another to ensure their leanings, ideals, and ethics are properly represented and sympathized with by a Justice who appeals to their beliefs and political party platforms.