November 8, 2022, is the date all registered voters from around the United States will decide which candidates will be elected to public office at the congressional, state, and local levels during the 2022 midterm elections. There is a possibility for numerous amendments to be up for vote on individual state ballots, including multiple gambling ballot measures. Early voting will be well underway both at physical locations and by mail across the US.
Democrats captured control of the House in 2020, but their majority status is in jeopardy based on the 2022 midterm futures. Republicans will seek to retake both Congressional bodies in 2022 as their election odds for the House of Representatives and the US Senate are favorable.
If there was anything to learn from 2020, it was to expect the unexpected, which may explain the surge of interest in political wagering. Sportsbooks were offering odds on a whopping 40+ betting lines for that year’s general election, covering everything from majority outcomes in the U.S. House of Representatives and U.S. Senate along with individual races in both chambers as well as many key races for Governor in several states. Expect more of the same in the 2022 midterms.
It is always interesting to compare the polls to the odds on political betting lines. With the possibility of the 2022 midterm elections being very volatile, we believe it is key to keep track of betting odds. Any time you want to check the odds in real time, you can view Bovada’s political betting lines.
The congressional majority odds often reflect the current polling data from RCP, The Democrats were able to retain the House and oust enough Republicans in the Senate to gain a majority in 2020. The odds on which party will dominate the Senate and House in 2022 have yet to be announced at most offshore sportsbooks, but as the general election nears, lines will be updated and posted here.
Which Party Will Control The Senate After The 2022 Midterm Election?
Which Party Will Win The House In The 2022 Midterm Election?
The odds for each race for governor in most elections are nearly identical to that of RCP and local polling data, but most of the races in 2020 were decided under a double-digit difference. Betting odds for the 2022 Gubernatorial races are posted below.
Alaska
Arizona
Florida
Georgia
Kansas
Maine
Michigan
Minnesota
Nevada
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Texas
Wisconsin
Much like the gubernatorial races, the polling on U.S. Senate races is very similar to the odds at most premium sportsbooks. Where the two races differ is when looking at the polling, since some Senate races have a huge point advantage in the polls while others are posting lines close to even, giving good value to both candidates as a result.
In the 2022 Election, 34 Senate seats will be up for grabs, and below are the latest election odds that have been posted online.
2022 US Senate Majority Odds
Arizona
Colorado
Florida
Florida – Rubio Victory Margin
Iowa
Iowa – Grassley Victory Margin
Lisa Murkowski to be re-elected in Alaska?
Nevada
New Hampshire
US Senate 2022 – Georgia
US Senate 2022 – North Carolina
US Senate 2022 – Ohio
US Senate 2022 – Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
The 2022 House race will be a wild one as all 435 U.S. House seats will be up for grabs during the 2022 general election. The latest House election odds are posted below.
Who will control the House in 2022?
Arizona-02
California-22
California-27
Colorado-08
Illinois-17
Iowa-03
Kansas-03
Maine-02
Maryland-06
Michigan-03
New Jersey-07
New Mexico-02
New York-18
New York-19
New York-22
Oregon-05
Oregon-06
Pennsylvania-07
Rhode Island-02
Size of Republican Majority
Texas-15
Total Democrat Seats
Virginia-02
The Democrats did not receive the huge blue wave they expected in 2018, but the party was successful in taking the House back from Republican control. This significant change meant the Democrats would have a seat at the table where the current POTUS would not be able to pass laws without the Democratic vote.
However, this election had several implications across the US, and several key races which we list were being watched closely.
Kentucky 6th Congressional District – Incumbent Andy Barr (R) won against challenger Amy McGrath (D)
Georgia Governorship – Brian Kemp (R) won against challenger Stacey Abrams (D)
Texas Senate – Incumbent Ted Cruz (R) won against challenger Beto O’Rouke (D)
North Dakota Senate – Kevin Cramer (R) won against incumbent Keidi Heitkamp (D)
Missouri Senate – John Hawley (R) won against incumbent Claire McCaskill (D)
Indiana Senate – Mike Braun (R) won against incumbent Joe Donnelly (D)