2024 Presidential Candidates and Party Affiliation Donald Trump Election Odds For 2024

Donald Trump Election Odds For 2024

Donald Trump

Party: Republican

Donald John Trump Sr.
Age: 78
Position: 45th President
State: New York
College: Fordham University
Status: Republican Nominee

 


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Presidential Election Odds: Bovada

  • JD Vance +275
  • Gavin Newsom +700
  • Ron DeSantis +900
  • Josh Shapiro +1200
  • Vivek Ramaswamy +1200
  • Gretchen Whitmer +1500
  • JB Pritzker +1500
  • Pete Buttigieg +1500
  • Kamala Harris +1600
*More odds available at Bovada

Who Is Donald Trump?

Presidential Seal2024 Presidential Election Update: Donald Trump has won the Republican nomination and selected JD Vance as his running mate (VP) for 2024.

Donald Trump was the United States’ 45th President. Trump ran for President in 2016 as a Republican and eventually lost his reelection bid to Joe Biden in 2020. Trump is running for president again in 2024, and he and Kamala Harris are in a dead heat that appears poised to last into early November.

Before becoming POTUS, Trump was best known for his real estate development and reality television appearances. Ever since Trump took office, the best online sportsbooks have had non-stop Trump odds for every imaginable political betting market, which continues even as Trump is once again a private citizen.

It is safe to say that Trump was the most bet-on (and bet-against) President in US history. Today, you will find reelection odds for Donald Trump Sr. and 2024 Presidential odds for his kids, including Ivanka Trump, Donald Trump Jr., and Eric Trump.

Voter Base

Based on the available data from the most recent pair of Presidential elections (2016, 2020) and various research centers, we can draw a target voter base Trump appeals to, which includes:

  • Conservatives
  • Constitutionalists
  • Capitalists
  • Centrists
  • Evangelicals
  • Right-leaning minorities
  • 2nd Amendment advocates
  • Pro-lifers

The President’s wide appeal to a range of mainstream Republican and Independent platforms is one reason the Trump reelection odds were initially so high. Trump also experienced a boost in the odds after selecting Ohio Senator JD Vance as his vice president and running mate.

2024 Odds For Trump To Win The Presidential Election

Odds Icon

The early odds for winning the 2024 Republican nomination had placed Florida Governor Ron DeSantis as the front-runner, but Trump squashed the hopefuls standing in his way and was awarded the nomination in July of 2024. Despite losing his reelection bid, Trump supporters have rallied around him in hopes of securing a second term now that Harris has entered the race.

Bovada Odds

  • JD Vance +275
  • Gavin Newsom +700
  • Ron DeSantis +900
  • Josh Shapiro +1200
  • Vivek Ramaswamy +1200
  • Gretchen Whitmer +1500
  • JB Pritzker +1500
  • Pete Buttigieg +1500
  • Kamala Harris +1600
*More odds available at Bovada

Betonline Odds

  • JD Vance +500
  • Gavin Newsom +750
  • Kamala Harris +2000
  • Ron DeSantis +700
  • Vivek Ramaswamy +900
  • Nikki Haley +1600
*More odds available at BetOnline

2024 Trump Assassination Attempt

In July of 2024, former President Donald Trump was the target of a failed assassination attempt in Pennsylvania. The incident occurred at one of his rallies, and by the grace of god, Trump only sustained a minor injury. Unfortunately, several other people were injured, and at least one bystander lost his life.

Before being rushed away from the rally, Trump stood with blood on his face and shouted fight to his supporters. After seeing his patriotism on full display, many of his colleagues, including future presidential candidate Ron DeSantis, endorsed Trump leading up to the Republican National Convention.

Trump Indictments Regarding Stormy Daniels Payment

After years of investigations, Donald Trump was formally charged with 34 felony counts in New York state related to a payment given to Stormy Daniels in 2016 to ensure her silence regarding any romantic encounters they may or may not have had. The money was allegedly taken from campaign funds and categorized as legal fees.

Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts and is awaiting sentencing. The SCOTUS ruling on presidential immunity could cause a delay in the sentencing, or cause the case to get thrown out completely.

FBI Raid Of Mar-a-Lago

On August 8, 2022, the FBI conducted a controversial raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago property in Florida. This, naturally, has been criticized by the GOP as being politically motivated and baseless. At the same time, the Democrats have seized on the events to place a roadblock between Trump and the 2024 presidency.

The case is ongoing and could be impacted by the US Supreme Court’s opinion on presidential immunity. Following the raid, it was discovered that Joe Biden was in possession of classified documents as well, but no charges were filed.

Can I Bet On Donald Trump 2024 Election Odds Now?

Yes, bets on Trump, Harris, or any other candidate can be placed at online sportsbooks between now and the moment the winner is declared. Usually, we’d say that all wagers will cash in (or lose) on November 5, 2024, but with Trump involved, we expect the results to be contested for weeks if he loses.

What The Trump Odds Suggest About His Chances Of Winning In 2024

The odds suggested that Trump would win the GOP nomination bid and defeat Ron DeSantis in 2024. They were correct. Now, Trump is slightly favored to defeat Kamala Harris, but there is still time for the DNC to make up ground before November 5th.

Chances Of Trump Reelection Based On Prediction Markets

As a former president, Trump’s chances of being elected in 2024 (when he will be almost 78 years old) are actually improving at every offshore betting site. However, the polls suggest that Trump is trailing Kamala Harris. The difference between the polls and the odds will be revealed on election day.  

Donald Trump Political Prop Bets

We have a page that specifically covers bets that lie outside the standard betting lines for candidates, including current Donald Trump political prop bets.

You will find prop bets for presidential debates, which party will win, odds that Trump will be impeached (again), and even which nicknames Donald Trump will call his various Democrat (and Republican!) opponents via Twitter.

Popular Trump Props:

Given how contentious politics has become, we expect Presidential resignation, impeachment, indictment, and removal odds to be standard fare during any administration going forward.


Donald Trump News & Headlines

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In His Own Words

As long as you are going to be thinking anyway, think big. – Donald Trump  


President Donald Trump’s Running Policies

Policy IconTrump’s presidential campaign is focused on improving the economy and creating additional jobs, points he has championed since 2016. Energy dominance as a nation is a new policy that he is running on, with an intention to abandon any reliance on foreign sources.

For 2024, his slogan has returned to  “Make America Great Again,” abandoning the “Keep America Great” slogan he used in 2020.

President Donald Trump’s Previous Policies

Policy IconAs President in 2017, Trump withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, reinstated and expanded the Mexico City Policy, approved the Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipelines, signed the Executive Order for Border Security and Immigration Enforcement improvements, signed the Executive Order on Core Principles for Regulating the United States Financial System, and signed the Congressional Review Act, the Elder Abuse Prevention and Prosecution Act, the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, and the Department of Veterans Affairs Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act of 2017.

In 2018, Trump signed the Farm Bill, as well as the Amy, Vicky, and Andy Child Pornography Victim Assistance Act of 2018. Trump signed several other bills into law, most of which can be found on the official Donald Trump campaign site.

Experience

Experience IconTrump’s professional career began after graduating from college when he went from working at his mother’s company, Elizabeth Trump & Sons, to becoming the owner of it in 1972. He renamed his mother’s business the Trump Organization. In 1983, Trump opened the Trump Tower in Manhattan.

Several years later, in 1987, Trump released a book he co-authored with Tony Schwartz called Trump: The Art of The Deal. Then in 1989, Hasbro & Parker Brothers released Trump: The Game. In 1992, Trump opened three casinos.

In 1995, Trump Hotel and Casino Resorts went public on the NYSE. In 1999, Trump launched “Trump Model Management.” In 2004, Trump hosted the NBC show The Apprentice. And, of course, in 2016, Trump ran for President on the Republican ticket and won. However, Trump lost reelection in 2020 despite getting more votes than any GOP candidate in US History.

Education

Education IconTrump enrolled at Fordham University in 1964. After two years, Trump transferred to the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, where he graduated in 1968 with a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics with a concentration in Real Estate.

Civic Work

Civic Work Handshake IconDonald Trump, through the course of his career, has won numerous awards for his charitable and humanitarian pursuits. While often overlooked, some of the most noteworthy Trump honors include:

  • Humanitarian Award, National Jewish Health (1976)
  • Tree of Life Award, Jewish National Fund (1983)
  • Ellis Island Medal of Honor (1986)
  • President’s Medal, Freedom Foundation (1995)
  • Muhammad Ali Entrepreneur Award (2007)
  • Unicorn Children’s Foundation Shining Star Award (2008)
  • Presidential Hero Award, Lois Pope LIFE Foundation (2011)
  • The Algemeiner Liberty Award (2015)
  • Wounded Warrior Project Award (2018)
  • Bipartisan Justice Award (2019)

President Trump’s Views on Gambling

Gambling IconTrump had very public financial ties to the late Sheldon Adelson, a Las Vegas casino mogul who was known to contribute to the Republican party and anti-gambling lawmakers. In fact, Trump and his family had met with Adelson’s family in Las Vegas multiple times for dinner.

While Adelson was known to push an anti-gambling expansion agenda to prevent any cannibalization in his market of land-based venues, Trump has a history of favoring casinos, as he was a former casino owner and he is friends with many other owners in the industry.

However, Trump was tough on any gamblers working in his cabinet, as his personal assistant John McEntee was denied permanent security clearance from the White House due to “problems related to online gambling and the mishandling of his taxes,” said one Senior Administrator. Overall, we view Trump to be in favor of expanded gambling, at least more so than the GOP generally is.


How Much Can I Win If I Bet On Trump 2024 Election Odds?

Since Trump has strong odds of winning the 2024 presidency, payouts would be comparatively “small” if he wins. Depending on the sportsbook, the odds that Trump will be elected in 2024 sit between +300 and +400.

This means that at +300, a wager of $100 would earn $300. At +400, a wager of $100 would earn $400. This all depends on which sportsbook you choose to gamble with.

This huge gap in payout value is why it pays to belong to more than one sportsbook, so you always have the opportunity to shop lines for the best odds possible.

Top 5 Reasons Donald Trump’s Chances Of Winning in 2024 Are Real

  1. Trump is a wildly popular former President. In 2020, he got more votes than any Republican candidate in US history.
  2. Trump is still not a career politician. The idea that America needed a businessman instead of a politician was prominent during Trump’s successful 2016 campaign, and with the current COVID economy, rampant inflation, and an official economic recession, that rings all the more authentic.
  3. Democrats have different viewpoints from one another, especially now that they control both chambers of Congress and the White House. While the left cannibalizes itself and fractures internally, Trump could reclaim the presidency since his stances are well-known.
  4. The economy needs help right now. Strong economies are key factors for voters in most years, and the US is headed for a major recession or even a depression. Trump proved he can right a sinking ship.
  5. America is accustomed to Trump. Although some of Trump’s actions earn him backlash, he doesn’t seem as outrageous as he once did. His 2016 railings against the manufacturing influence of China have been borne out in a big way during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well.

Retrospective: Odds Of Trump Being Reelected In 2020

Odds IconDonald Trump’s reelection odds were favorable until April 2020, when it became clear that his responses to Black Lives Matter protests and the Coronavirus were not going over well with a majority of bettors.

At that time, Joe Biden took the lead in the 2020 Presidential election odds and remained the favorite through his November win.

2020 Recap: Trump Vs. Biden Odds

When it came to the 2020 Biden vs. Trump odds, some sites had head-to-head matchups, while others simply had odds on the Presidential winner. At Bovada, the race looked like this down the stretch:

  • Donald Trump +120
  • Joe Biden -140

Meanwhile, at BetOnline, the showdown also favored Biden:

  • Donald Trump -110
  • Joe Biden -110

MyBookie had the starkest contrast with the best payouts for Trump in the final months of betting:

  • Donald Trump -125
  • Joe Biden -105

Donald Trump And Coronavirus – Will There Be A Repeat In 2024? 

The coronavirus scare had more of an impact on Donald Trump’s re-election odds in 2020 than all of his “scandals” up till then. This is attributable not to any action on the President’s part but is indicative of the old adage that “It’s the economy, stupid.” Indeed, COVID-19 rocked the stock market, one of Trump’s core strengths heading into November, and Trump lost the election. America is very nearly in a real recession right now, even under the Biden administration.

To put the virus’ impact into perspective, a few days before Trump declared a national emergency over the coronavirus, he was sitting at -5000 to win the GOP primary, but he immediately dropped to -3000. Meanwhile, the odds of Trump winning the general election were at -140. Those odds fell to +100 or worse following the early days of the American lockdown.

Still, Trump had proved capable of weathering all storms, and many bettors thought he would do so again. As with the stock market, buy the dip! To read further into how the Coronavirus affected Trump’s odds in 2020, see our Coronavirus Election Odds Impact page.


Trump Betting FAQs

What are the odds of Trump being elected again?

The odds of Trump winning in 2024 are decent, with his chances sitting between +300 and +400 depending on the sportsbook you choose. Of course, that means you can clean up bigly (kind of) if he wins!

Can Trump defeat DeSantis in 2024?

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has not declared his intentions to run for President of the United States in 2024. Despite that fact, the election odds heavily favor DeSantis over Trump and Biden. Right now, Trump’s best chance of beating DeSantis involves the Florida Governor opting out of the 2024 election cycle.

What were the chances Trump would cancel election proceedings for 2020?

While many mainstream media pundits and Democratic politicians spent countless hours warning that “Dictator Donald” would use the coronavirus to declare martial law and cancel the November 2020 Presidential election, that did not happen. However, you could get odds on whether or not the election would be delayed by COVID-19 at some sportsbooks.

Can you bet on Trump lies?

While some books might offer these kinds of props, they are subjective in nature and are thus problematic. Most sports betting sites offering Trump odds will not host such lines, and we don’t recommend risking any cash on subjective outcomes.

Are there Trump Nobel Peace Prize odds?

Currently, no. However, there were at one time. When Trump initiated nuclear disarmament talks with “Little Rocket Man” Kim Jong Un of North Korea, sportsbooks offered Nobel odds for The Donald. Trump was nominated for seven Nobel Peace Prizes in his four years as President.


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This page is not intended to be a public endorsement. Our only goal is to inform bettors of the current odds found online. Our team strives to provide transparent information that reflects the best qualities of the candidate. Odds and other information provided on this page should only be used to make an informed betting decision.

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