Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts, ended her 2020 presidential campaign today, and there is currently no update on what her plans are going forward.
Warren was the last announced female candidate with odds to win the 2020 election. Unfortunately, her dropping out means a woman more than likely will not be elected President during the general election this year — the 100-year anniversary of the 19th Amendment, which granted some American women the right to vote in 1920 (minority women were granted the right to vote with the Voting Rights Act of 1965).
Warren’s 2020 Odds
Warren’s chances before exiting the race were +5000 ($1 bet wins $50), giving her a less than a 2% chance of winning the nomination.
The former Democratic favorite never recovered the cold winter following her red hot summer surge, which saw Warren’s nominee chances reach as high as -120, or a roughly 50% implied probability with vigorish removed.
2020 Democratic Nominee Odds
After the dust has settled from Super Tuesday, the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee odds now come down two geriatric white men with Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders as the only candidates left standing.
There are Democratic nomination odds for other potential presidential candidates, but they should be considered “longer than longshot” at this point in the race.
Political Futures – March 5, 2020 via Bovada
- Joe Biden -550
- Bernie Sanders +475
- Hillary Clinton +1800
- Michelle Obama +8000
- Tulsi Gabbard +20000
Warren For VP?
On the bright side for Warren, she is listed with +450 odds ($1 bet wins $4.50) to be picked as Biden’s Vice President.
Warren has the fourth-best chance at Biden’s VP with an approximately 15% probability. However, it’s worth noting she’s not listed among Bernie’s VP odds that were released on Super Thursday.
Joe Biden’s Vice President Odds
Political Futures – March 5, 2020 via Bovada
- Amy Klobuchar +250
- Kamala Harris +250
- Stacey Abrams +325
- Elizabeth Warren +450
- Pete Buttigieg +800
- Catherine Cortez Masto +900
Warren Prop Bet
Since Warren isn’t in the running for President and getting Biden’s nod at VP isn’t a given, the Bovada oddsmakers do open Warren as the favorite to be the next presidential candidate to appear on the Joe Rogan Podcast.
And while this political proposition wager is unlikely to happen, it’s worth noting that Bernie Sanders, Andrew Yang, and Tulsi Gabbard have all sat down to talk with Joe Rogan during the 2020 race.
Next Presidential Candidate To Appear On Joe Rogan Podcast
Political Props – March 5, 2020 via Bovada
- Elizabeth Warren -250
- Joe Biden +300
- Donald Trump +750
*Listed selections only. Must take place before November 3, 2020 for action. Any wagers placed on the same day news becomes public knowledge will be deemed void.
Upcoming 2020 Democratic Primary Odds
Political Futures – March 5, 2020 via Bovada
With the Super Tuesday betting futures graded, it’s time for oddsmakers and bettors to look ahead to see what’s next on the 2020 Democratic presidential primary schedule.
Bovada’s state primary election betting odds for next week’s six contests on March 10 favor Biden winning Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, and North Dakota while Sanders is projected to finish on top in Idaho and Washington state.
The opening betting lines for some of the primaries after the March 10 elections have also been posted. Biden is favored in every state after next week’s contests, but we’ll hold off on a deep-dive until oddsmakers release the betting chances for all the upcoming state primaries.
March 10 Democratic Primaries
Idaho Democratic Primary Odds
- Bernie Sanders -220
- Joe Biden +165
Michigan Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -600
- Bernie Sanders +375
Mississippi Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -10000
- Bernie Sander +1400
Missouri Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -3000
- Bernie Sanders +900
North Dakota Democratic Caucuses Odds
- Joe Biden -150
- Bernie Sanders +115
Washington Democratic Primary Odds
- Bernie Sanders -180
- Joe Biden +135
Primaries After March 10
Illinois Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -900
- Bernie Sanders +500
Wisconsin Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -260
- Bernie Sanders +190
Connecticut Democratic Primary
- Joe Biden -450
- Bernie Sanders +300
New York Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -450
- Bernie Sanders +300
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -800
- Bernie Sanders +475
West Virginia Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -260
- Bernie Sanders +190
Kentucky Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -550
- Bernie Sanders +350
New Jersey Democratic Primary Odds
- Joe Biden -700
- Bernie Sanders +425