In two weeks, Americans across the country will head to their local ballot boxes and decide who will be the President of the United States for the next four years. Since the beginning of October, Donald Trump has been trending ahead of Kamala Harris at election betting sites and now holds a lead of over 100 points at most books.
US Presidential Election 2024 Winner
- Donald Trump Sr. -175
- Kamala Harris +150
The odds for betting on Donald Trump convert to a 64% chance of winning. This line has been provided by Bovada, but there are similar presidential election odds posted at each of the online sportsbooks that we review.
During any given election, there is a point in the coverage where a candidate is declared the victor due to a state going their way. Perhaps the most noteworthy example in recent history was in 2020 when Florida awarded George W. Bush the White House over the presumed winner, Al Gore.
Political prop bets are suggesting that the tipping point state in 2024 will be Pennsylvania.
Tipping Point State
- Pennsylvania +200
- Michigan +400
- Wisconsin +550
- North Carolina +650
- Georgia +800
- Arizona +1400
- Nevada +2500
- Florida +2500
- Texas +5000
- Minnesota +5000
- New Mexico +5000
- New Hampshire +5000
Biden won PA in 2020, securing 50% of the state’s votes compared to Trump’s 48.8%. What’s notable is that the Quaker State’s votes leaned further right in 2020 than the national average, which is traditionally not the case.
In individual prop bets for PA’s results in 2024, Kamala Harris is once again an underdog.
Pennsylvania
- Democrat +120
- Republican -160
Local poll results issued this Monday from PA have granted Harris a two-point lead in PA, but political prop bets suggest that the state and its precious 19 electoral college votes will go to Trump in 2024.
Other polls executed within the last week have given Trump a slim edge.
Pennsylvanians have voted for the eventual winner in ten out of the last twelve elections. PA has only voted for a Republican candidate once since the 1980s – Donald Trump in 2016.
Alternatively, a Democratic candidate has not won the presidency without carrying Pennsylvania since 1948.
The governor of PA, Josh Shapiro, is a Democrat, and so is the state house. An RNC majority controls the state Senate. Blue strongholds are held in Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and the Allentown region to the east of New York City.
Harrisburgh has traditionally voted blue as well but has the potential to flip Republican in 2024. Believe it or not, Dauphin County could decide who wins the 2024 presidential election.