Most presidential elections are determined by a few critical states supporting a given candidate. 2024 is no different, as both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are hyperfocused on the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
These seven states include a total of 93 electoral college votes.
Electoral College Votes For Each Swing State
- Arizona – 11
- Georgia – 16
- Michigan – 15
- North Carolina – 16
- Nevada – 6
- Pennsylvania – 19
- Wisconsin – 10
Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are a part of the “blue wall,” eighteen states that voted Democrat between 1992 and 2012. The following political prop bets imply that neither the DNC nor the Republican Party will win PA, MI, and WI combined in 2024.
Blue Wall Sweep – Democrats
- No -200
- Yes +150
Blue Wall Sweep – Republicans
- No -500
- Yes +300
The following swing state odds indicate that both Presidential candidates will have victories and that a sweep by Harris or Trump is a longshot.
Swing States Sweep – Democrats
- No -500
- Yes +300
Swing States Sweep – Republicans
- No -800
- Yes +425
States Where The GOP Has The Edge
The Peach State has leaned blue over the past few election cycles but is currently strongly favoring Trump. Biden narrowly won GA in 2020, but Harris is not polling as well in 2024.
Georgia
- Republicans -165
- Democrats +135
Republicans appear to be way out in front in the Tar Heel State. Trump won NC in 2020 by a 1.34% margin over Biden and is poised to keep the state red this November.
North Carolina
- Republicans -170
- Democrats +140
States Where The DNC Is Ahead
Biden won MI in 2020 by nearly 3 points, but he was expected to separate from Trump by a wider margin. The odds predict a similar outcome in 2024, with Harris easily taking this blue-wall state
Michigan
- Democrats -180
- Republicans +150
The lead is a little slimmer for Harris in the Badger State, but the DNC is still 70 points out in front in the latest moneyline odds. Biden bested Trump by less than 1% last time, but WI is all-in on Kamala now.
Wisconsin
- Democrats -150
- Republicans +120
Toss-Up States
AZ has been traditionally Republican, but anti-Trump sentiment in the state has caused the Democratic Party even the odds. Biden won by 0.3% last time, but Harris has not polled as well as Cool Joe leading up to election day.
Arizona
- Republicans -120
- Democrats -110
Another region where both sides are in a dead heat is NV. Biden won by 3% in 2020, but the Silver State could go either way this year.
Nevada
- Republicans -115
- Democrats -115
PA has the most electoral votes among the swing states, with 19. Pennsylvania went to Trump in 2016, but Biden flipped the state blue in 2020. However, the DNC only won by fewer than 100,000 votes last election, hence the tight odds.
Pennsylvania
- Republicans -115
- Democrats -115