With election day just weeks away, many expect the final presidential debate to be pivotal for both the Biden and Trump campaigns.
As it stands, Biden leads in the polls by a significant margin. The Biden campaign has raised more funds and has spent more than the Trump administration in ad messaging.
Actual swing states, such as Florida and Pennsylvania that solidified Trump’s 2016 presidential victory favor, Biden, by an average of five percentage points. Similarly, US Senate odds reflect a similar favor for a Democratic push.
Despite this, the Trump administration has taken leaps and strides in the past few weeks to close the gap. Shortly after the President’s coronavirus diagnosis, he fell behind Biden in the polls by nearly ten percentage points.
Moreover, the 2016 presidential election candidate, Hillary Clinton, held nearly the same lead over Trump in the polls as Biden does today.
On October 22nd at 9:00 PM in Nashville, Tennessee, Biden, and Trump poise to head on critical issues like the pandemic, race, families, climate change, national security, and leadership.
Today, before the debate, we here at PEO decided it would be a good idea to mark where the current odds stand for the two candidates on our favorite political betting sites.
These odds and lines were pulled from two of our recommended sportsbooks: Bovada Political Betting Odds & MyBookie Political Betting Odds
Final Debate Props – Updated
What Style Will Joe Biden’s Tie Be
- Striped Or Spotted -190
- Solid Color +145
Will Joe Biden Have A Pocket Square Showing
- Yes -400
- No +250
J Biden Wears Mask On Stage At Any Point-Broadcast
- Yes -105
- No -135
These odds shifted from a +120 Yes and -160 No from yesterday. Biden may take the high ground and ditch the mask in order to pacify Trump’s attacks.
What Color Will Donald Trump’s Tie Be
- Red/Purple -220
- Blue/Light Blue/Navy Blue +250
- Black/White/Grey +400
What Style Will Donald Trump’s Tie Be
- Striped Or Spotted +145
- Solid Color -190
Trump – Biden Tie Style Parlay
- Trump Striped Tie – Biden Striped Tie +250
- Trump Solid Tie – Biden Striped Tie +125
- Trump Striped Tie – Biden Solid Tie +450
- Trump Solid Tie – Biden Solid Tie +350
What Will Be Said First By Joe Biden
- Thanks +100
- Hello +150
- Thank You +200
- Hi +300
What Will Be Said First By Donald Trump
- Thank You +100
- Hello +150
- Thanks +200
- Hi +300
Which Topic Will Be Debated First
- Fighting Covid-19 +200
- American Families +400
- Race In America +400
- Climate Change +400
- National Security +400
- Leadership +400
The moderator listed COVID-19 as the first topic, but the issues are usually beholden to the debaters themselves as these debates go.
What Will Be Said First By Trump Or Biden
- Pandemic +175
- Mask +200
- Recovered +175
- Who/World Health Organization +500
- Cdc/Center For Disease Control +500
- Fauci +700
What Will Be Said First By Trump Or Biden
- Class +175
- Struggle/Struggling +200
- Healthy +225
- Breakdown +400
- Traditional +400
Which State Will Be Mentioned First
- Tennessee -165
- Ohio +250
- Florida +250
- Michigan +500
- New York +600
Min In To The Debate For Trump To Say Hunter
- Over 15 Minutes 30 Seconds -120
- Under 15 Minutes 30 Seconds -120
How Many Times Will D Trump Say Corrupt/Corruption
- Over 3.5 -120
- Under 3.5 -120
How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Ukraine”
- Over 3.5 +120
- Under 3.5 -160
How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Burisma”
- Over 1.5 +155
- Under 1.5 -220
How Many Times Will Joe Biden Say Covid
- Over 8.5 -120
- Under 8.5 -120
How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say Covid
- Over 4.5 +100
- Under 4.5 -140
How Many Times Will Joe Biden Say “Coronavirus”
- Over 1.5 +120
- Under 1.5 -160
How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Coronavirus”
- Over 2.5 +155
- Under 2.5 -220
These odds shifted in favor of the Under. We suspect Trump to try and downplay the pandemic to quell Biden’s attacks.
Which Candidate Will Say “Black People/Americans”
- Joe Biden – First -150
- Donald Trump – First +110
Will Joe Biden Say “Racist”
- Yes -400
- No +250
Which Candidate Will Say “Racism” First
- Joe Biden -400
- Donald Trump +250
How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Isis”
- Over 2.5 -120
- Under 2.5 -120
How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Antifa”
- Over 3.5 +120
- Under 3.5 -160
Times “Russia” Will Be Said By Either Candidate
- Over 3.5 -140
- Under 3.5 +100
How Many Times Will “Email” Be Said By D Trump
- Over 2.5 -150
- Under 2.5 +110
How Many Times Will “Laptop” Be Said By D Trump
- Over 1.5 -130
- Under 1.5 -110
What Will Be Said First By Either Candidate
- Fraud +165
- Liar +165
- Corrupt +165
Key Swing State Odds
Florida (FL)
- Democratic Candidate -125
- Republican Candidate -105
Florida’s gap narrows, and though the odds still favor Biden, Trump’s campaign has poured money into Florida’s ad space to try to synch it’s 29 electoral college votes.
Iowa (IA)
- Republican Candidate -170
- Democratic Candidate +130
Trump leads in Iowa, but by only 0.2 percentage points. Iowa provides six electoral college votes and is a less risky line to wager on.
Ohio (OH)
- Republican Candidate -190
- Democratic Candidate +145
Polls show Trump ahead by 1.7 percentage points. We’re watching this line closely.
Pennsylvania (PA)
- Democratic Candidate -250
- Republican Candidate +185
Pennsylvania gave Trump 20 electoral college votes in 2016. Biden is currently beating Trump by 5.6 percentage points.
North Carolina (NC)
- Democratic Candidate -130
- Republican Candidate EVEN
NC is a tight race. Biden’s lead of 3 percentage points makes us here at PEO reconsider wagering on this line.
Arizona (AZ)
- Democratic Candidate -150
- Republican Candidate +115
The odds reflect the tightness of the polls in Arizona’s case.
Presidential Election Odds
US Presidential Election Winner
- Joe Biden-165
- Donald Trump+125
Popular Vote Winner
- Democrats -500
- Republicans +330
While Joe Biden and the Democrats appear to have the popular vote in the bag. Donald Trump has taken big steps in closing the gap that Biden enjoyed earlier in the election.
We expect that these margins will become slimmer the closer it gets to the election. If you bet on Trump in 2016, you got huge payouts. This cycle won’t be as significant, but you can still rake in the coin betting on the underdog.
Lastly, Some Notable Donald Trump Prop Bets
Donald Trump And Melania Trump Divorced By 2021
- YES +160
- NO -200
Who Will Die First?
- Donald Trump -130
- Vladimir Putin -110
How could we not include these? They are a satisfying break from the tension of – well, everything.
We haven’t posted all of the odds found at our favorite sportsbook sites. We are watching closely to see how these presidential debate props turn out and how the debate may shift some of those higher action lines listed at the top.
Sources: