To say the impeachment of President Donald Trump has been a roller coaster might be an understatement. With the contentions between House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Trump, along with a few Democrats and Republicans blurring the party-line voting, things are taking a life our their own.
To make things even more interesting, MyBookie is currently accepting action on a number of impeachment-related bets regarding the upcoming Senate vote. While Trump’s odds of removal remain unlikely, these other political betting odds could actually payout later.
The first bet that matters, and subsequently affects all the remaining wagers, is whether or not Pelosi will send the articles of impeachment to the Senate. After Trump’s impeachment last week, Pelosi threatened to leave Trump in limbo by not sending the articles to the Senate.
Nevertheless, Pelosi is expected to eventually send the articles of impeachment to the Senate at -3000 odds. Converted to percentages, there’s a 96.02% chance that Pelosi sends the articles.
Will Nancy Pelosi send the articles of impeachment to the Senate?
- Yes -3000
- No +2000
If Pelosi does send the articles of impeachment to the Senate, there’s a small chance Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell could try to dismiss them. However, based on the odds, it is likely McConnell will not dismiss the articles at -400 odds.
Will Mitch McConnell try to dismiss the articles of impeachment?
- Yes +250
- No -400
If Pelosi sends the articles and McConnell does not dismiss them, senators will eventually have to vote on them. Of the 100 senators in the 116th United States Congress, there are 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, and two independents.
According to the odds, it is most likely that between one and four Republican senators will vote for the removal of President Trump at +100 chances. The odds of no Republicans voting in favor of removal is second at +150 chances.
How many Republican senators will vote for Trump’s removal?
- 0 +150
- 1-4 +100
- 5-9 +650
- 10 or more +1000
The GOP members that could vote in favor of Trump’s removal could be Utah’s Mitt Romney (+180), Maine’s Susan Collins (+300), and Florida’s Marco Rubio (+250). While Rubio has stated that he is keeping an open mind throughout the process, none of the three really seem to want to go against their party.
Will Mitt Romney vote for Trump’s removal?
- Yes +180
- No -220
Will Susan Collins vote for Trump’s removal?
- Yes +300
- No -500
Will Marco Rubio vote for Trump’s removal?
- Yes +250
- No -400