Tuesday night’s Presidential debate between 2024 candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump mirrored the results of the Biden-Trump debate from last June. Instead of Trump on the offensive and the DNC nominee on the run, the scenario was flipped this time, with Donald making strange comments that inspired a flood of memes in the following hours.
In the days after the June debate, power players in the Democratic Party made moves to force Biden to exit the race and suspend his campaign for reelection. One could hardly blame the DNC brass for doing so.
President Biden’s base had lost confidence in his cognitive abilities and seemed poised to consider alternatives if he remained in the race. Once Biden exited and Harris was named the presumptive nominee, the odds began to flip in the DNC’s favor.
The once commanding odds for betting on Trump slipped closer to even as Harris narrowed the gap between them, eventually pulling ahead a few days after her nomination.
The two candidates have been neck-and-neck since that time, with any edge going toward Harris if one was granted. With all outlets indicating a Harris win at the September 10th debate, shouldn’t her odds of winning have improved in the wake of her solid performance?
Odds To Win The US Presidential Election 2024
- Bovada – Kamala Harris -115, Donald Trump Sr. -105
- BetOnline – Kamala Harris -120, Donald Trump Sr. EVEN
- MyBookie – Donald Trump -110, Kamala Harris -110
- BetUS – Kamala Harris -130, Donald Trump Sr. EVEN
That’s not been the case so far. Harris still holds a slight edge at most online sportsbooks, but there are some sites that have them tied. Trump is getting no worse than even money at the moment, so it is difficult to consider him an underdog despite his deficit in the odds.
A snap poll conducted immediately after the debate concluded that 68% of those surveyed believed Harris was the winner.
So, why hasn’t that translated into a separation in the polls and political betting odds for Kamala Harris? Her lack of a sizable lead comes into further focus when considering Taylor Swift’s recent endorsement.
Swifties number roughly 36 million in the United States, and it can be assumed that a majority of them align with Taylor’s current political stance. Could it be that most Swifties were already on board with Harris?
Considering the demographics of the average Swifty, most of them have likely adopted 2024’s set of liberal values, making her endorsement’s impact minimal.
Election day is just seven weeks and five days away, and the Harris campaign appears to have more work to do before it can be considered the 2024 front-runners.